Question

Will the GOP hold the Senate on January 3rd 2021?

Resolved :Yes

81 comments81

Total Forecasters261

Community Prediction99%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

26.5

Community Peer Score

-6.2

median 99.0%mean 95.1%

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Future Perfect 2020 Series

Dylan Matthews

Democratic Party (US)

Maine

Brett Kavanaugh

Colorado

2020 United States Senate elections

Arizona

Susan Collins

North Carolina

Republican Party (US)

Will Mitch McConnell cease to be the US Senate Republican Leader before the next presidential inauguration (January 20, 2025)?

99%

Will a third party win a Senate election in the United States by 2050?

50%

Will Republicans win the most votes in the 2024 elections for the House of Representatives?

99.9%

Comments

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