Question

Will the Doomsday clock advance closer to Midnight?

Resolved :Yes

29 comments29

Total Forecasters32

Community Prediction40%

Make a Prediction

community: 40%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

-42.6

Community Peer Score

11.4

median 40.0%mean 41.5%

Authors:

AABoyles

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Geopolitics

Environment & Climate

Doomsday Clock

Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists

When will the Doomsday Clock reach midnight?

2095-05-13

Doomsday Clock and ICAN Forecasting

When will the Climate Clock hit zero?

2029-05-31

Comments

? comments

Authors:

AABoyles

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Geopolitics

Environment & Climate

Doomsday Clock

Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists

Israel vows to hit back at Iran. Will it bomb Tehran's nuclear sites? Can it?

USA Today•Oct 9, 2024

Steadfast Noon: Annual NATO Nuclear Exercise to Start Next Week

Breitbart•Oct 10, 2024

Iran’s Year of Living Dangerously

Foreign Affairs•Oct 12, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the Doomsday Clock reach midnight?

2095-05-13

Doomsday Clock and ICAN Forecasting

When will the Climate Clock hit zero?

2029-05-31