Question

Will the Doomsday clock advance closer to Midnight?

Resolved :Yes

29 comments29

Total Forecasters32

Community Prediction40%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 40%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

-42.6

Community Peer Score

11.4

median 40.0%mean 41.5%

Authors:

AABoyles

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Geopolitics

Environment & Climate

Doomsday Clock

Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists

When will the Doomsday Clock reach midnight?

2093-06-22

Doomsday Clock and ICAN Forecasting

When will the Climate Clock hit zero?

2029-05-31

Comments

? comments

Authors:

AABoyles

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Geopolitics

Environment & Climate

Doomsday Clock

Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists

A new nuclear arms race is beginning. It will be far more dangerous than the last one

Guardian•Nov 14, 2024

Could Biden's Ukraine Missile Move Trigger World War III? Experts' Verdicts

Newsweek•Nov 19, 2024

Trumpian Isolationism in the Nuclear Age

OpEdNews•Nov 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the Doomsday Clock reach midnight?

2093-06-22

Doomsday Clock and ICAN Forecasting

When will the Climate Clock hit zero?

2029-05-31