🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will the Doomsday clock advance closer to Midnight?

Resolved :Yes40%
7
29
Total Forecasters32
Community Prediction40% (29% - 46%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 40%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
-42.6
Community Peer Score
11.4
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
AABoyles
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Environment & Climate
Geopolitics
2020 Leaderboard
Doomsday Clock
Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists

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