Question

Will Keir Starmer win the 2020 Labour leadership contest?

Resolved :Yes93%

24 comments24

Total Forecasters62

Community Prediction93% (84% - 98%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 93%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

56.5

Community Peer Score

15.3

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Authors:

JKitson

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Starmer won’t get an easier Liaison Committee grilling than this

Spectator (UK)•Dec 20, 2024

Watch: Starmer says he wouldn’t do top job differently

Spectator (UK)•Dec 20, 2024

Starmer should not be the fall guy for Labour’s failures. This disaster was written by committee | Owen Jones

Guardian•Dec 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Who will win the next UK Labour Party Leadership Election?

When will Keir Starmer cease to be Leader of the Labour Party?

2025-01-01

Will the UK have a Labour Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

70%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

JKitson

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Starmer won’t get an easier Liaison Committee grilling than this

Spectator (UK)•Dec 20, 2024

Watch: Starmer says he wouldn’t do top job differently

Spectator (UK)•Dec 20, 2024

Starmer should not be the fall guy for Labour’s failures. This disaster was written by committee | Owen Jones

Guardian•Dec 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Who will win the next UK Labour Party Leadership Election?

When will Keir Starmer cease to be Leader of the Labour Party?

2025-01-01

Will the UK have a Labour Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

70%

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Will Keir Starmer win the 2020 Labour leadership contest?

Make a Prediction

Who will win the next UK Labour Party Leadership Election?

When will Keir Starmer cease to be Leader of the Labour Party?

Will the UK have a Labour Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

Comments

Who will win the next UK Labour Party Leadership Election?

When will Keir Starmer cease to be Leader of the Labour Party?

Will the UK have a Labour Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

Who will win the next UK Labour Party Leadership Election?

When will Keir Starmer cease to be Leader of the Labour Party?

Will the UK have a Labour Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

Who will win the next UK Labour Party Leadership Election?

When will Keir Starmer cease to be Leader of the Labour Party?

Will the UK have a Labour Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?