Question

[closed] How many human infections of the 2019 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) will be estimated to occur before 2021?

Resolved :Above upper bound

95 comments95

Total Forecasters73

Community Prediction100k

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>100k

...

100k

78.9%

What was the final result?Above upper bound

Community Baseline Score

91.4

Community Peer Score

53.8

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

World Health Organization

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

Epidemiology

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

Will human cases of HPAI clade 2.3.4.4b avian influenza exceed 500,000 before 2025?

When will human cases of HPAI clade 2.3.4.4b avian influenza exceed 500,000?

2040-01-01

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