Question

Will EQRx get at least one drug approved by the FDA before the end of 2030?

4 comments4

Total Forecasters37

Community Prediction37% (27% - 43%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 37%

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

Sylvain

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Health & Pandemics

Food and Drug Administration

FDA says knockoff versions of Lilly obesity drug must come off the market

Associated Press•Dec 20, 2024

Zepbound Approved For Sleep Apnea

Forbes•Dec 21, 2024

RFK Plans to Take on Big Pharma. It’s Easier Said Than Done

Wired•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many drugs will be approved by the FDA in 2035?

65.5

Will a senolytic therapy be approved for commercial sale by the US FDA before January 1, 2030?

54%

Before June 2032, will the US FDA authorize a vaccine without phase III efficacy data in response to a new public health emergency?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Sylvain

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Health & Pandemics

Food and Drug Administration

FDA says knockoff versions of Lilly obesity drug must come off the market

Associated Press•Dec 20, 2024

Zepbound Approved For Sleep Apnea

Forbes•Dec 21, 2024

RFK Plans to Take on Big Pharma. It’s Easier Said Than Done

Wired•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many drugs will be approved by the FDA in 2035?

65.5

Will a senolytic therapy be approved for commercial sale by the US FDA before January 1, 2030?

54%

Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

MetaculusM

Will EQRx get at least one drug approved by the FDA before the end of 2030?

Make a Prediction

How many drugs will be approved by the FDA in 2035?

Will a senolytic therapy be approved for commercial sale by the US FDA before January 1, 2030?

Before June 2032, will the US FDA authorize a vaccine without phase III efficacy data in response to a new public health emergency?

Comments

How many drugs will be approved by the FDA in 2035?

Will a senolytic therapy be approved for commercial sale by the US FDA before January 1, 2030?

Before June 2032, will the US FDA authorize a vaccine without phase III efficacy data in response to a new public health emergency?

How many drugs will be approved by the FDA in 2035?

Will a senolytic therapy be approved for commercial sale by the US FDA before January 1, 2030?

Before June 2032, will the US FDA authorize a vaccine without phase III efficacy data in response to a new public health emergency?

How many drugs will be approved by the FDA in 2035?

Will a senolytic therapy be approved for commercial sale by the US FDA before January 1, 2030?

Before June 2032, will the US FDA authorize a vaccine without phase III efficacy data in response to a new public health emergency?