Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

If Trump loses the election, will he contest the results?

Resolved :Yes61%
29
52
Total Forecasters199
Community Prediction61% (58% - 70%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 61%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
21.8
Community Peer Score
20.0
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
PeterWildeford
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Politics
2020 Leaderboard
2016 US presidential election
2020 US presidential election
Donald Trump

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