Question

If Trump loses the election, will he contest the results?

Resolved:Yes
Community Prediction40%50%60%70%80%Sep 02Sep 06Sep 10Sep 14Sep 18Sep 22Sep 26Sep 30Oct 04Oct 08Oct 12Oct 16Oct 20Oct 24Oct 28now
Total Forecasters199
Community Prediction
61%
(58% - 70%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 61%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
21.8
Community Peer Score
20.0
Opened:Jan 23, 2020
Closes:Nov 1, 2020
Resolves:Nov 15, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 23, 2020

Comments

? comments

We use cookies 🍪 to understand how you use Metaculus and to improve your experience.

Learn more about how we use cookies in our Privacy Policy