M

Question

When will the first humans land successfully on Mars?

Total Forecasters355
Community Prediction2042-10-03 (2035-11-26 - 2053-11-20)

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CDF

weight:
QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%2035
median2042
upper 75%2053
Upper bound
>2100-01-015.3%
Authors:
Opened:Jan 23, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2100

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