Question

Will there be a global thermonuclear war by 2070?

35 comments35

Total Forecasters223

Community Prediction11% (3% - 20%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 11%

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Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Atomic bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki

Cuban Missile Crisis

How To Prepare for Nuclear War

Lew Rockwell•Dec 13, 2024

It’s time the world understands a nuclear war cannot be won

Al Jazeera•Dec 13, 2024

Joe Biden Under Pressure To Take Away Donald Trump's Nuclear War Power

Newsweek•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will no non-test nuclear weapons be detonated before 2035?

80%

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nuclear war?

30%

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as an act of war by 2050?

20%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Atomic bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki

Cuban Missile Crisis

How To Prepare for Nuclear War

Lew Rockwell•Dec 13, 2024

It’s time the world understands a nuclear war cannot be won

Al Jazeera•Dec 13, 2024

Joe Biden Under Pressure To Take Away Donald Trump's Nuclear War Power

Newsweek•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will no non-test nuclear weapons be detonated before 2035?

80%

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nuclear war?

30%

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as an act of war by 2050?

20%

Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

MetaculusM

Will there be a global thermonuclear war by 2070?

Make a Prediction

Will no non-test nuclear weapons be detonated before 2035?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nuclear war?

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as an act of war by 2050?

Comments

Will no non-test nuclear weapons be detonated before 2035?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nuclear war?

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as an act of war by 2050?

Will no non-test nuclear weapons be detonated before 2035?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nuclear war?

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as an act of war by 2050?

Will no non-test nuclear weapons be detonated before 2035?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nuclear war?

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as an act of war by 2050?