Question

Will there be a global thermonuclear war by 2070?

35 comments35

Total Forecasters223

Community Prediction11%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 11%

median 11.0%mean 18.0%

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Atomic bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki

Cuban Missile Crisis

Will no non-test nuclear weapons be detonated before 2035?

80%

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nuclear war?

27%

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as an act of war by 2050?

20%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Atomic bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki

Cuban Missile Crisis

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Will no non-test nuclear weapons be detonated before 2035?

80%

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nuclear war?

27%

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as an act of war by 2050?

20%