Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

We're considering changes to the Quarterly Cup and want to hear from you, take our short survey to share your thoughts and help shape future iterations of the Cup.

M

Question

When will we be able to predict at least 10% of variance in Big Five agreeableness based on genetic information alone?

Total Forecasters30
Community Prediction2033-08-08 (2027-07-05 - 2046-11-21)

Make a Prediction

weight:
My Prediction
community
<2021-01-19
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2060-12-31
...
...
...
...
...
6.6%
2027-07-05 16:05
2033-08-08 04:32
2046-11-21 20:07
15.5%
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