Question

One Million Martian Residents by 2075?

75 comments75

Total Forecasters363

Community Prediction2%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 2%

median 2.0%mean 8.4%

Authors:

AABoyles

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

SpaceX reusable launch system

Elon Musk

Colonization of Mars

SpaceX

Celebrate Mars New Year Now Because The Next One Won’t Come Until 2026

Forbes•Nov 13, 2024

Should humans plan to live on Mars? Probably not anytime soon : Short Wave : NPR

NPR Online News•Nov 13, 2024

Lasers powered by sunlight could be key to traveling to Mars, scientists say

Independent•Nov 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Comments

? comments

Authors:

AABoyles

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

SpaceX reusable launch system

Elon Musk

Colonization of Mars

SpaceX

Celebrate Mars New Year Now Because The Next One Won’t Come Until 2026

Forbes•Nov 13, 2024

Should humans plan to live on Mars? Probably not anytime soon : Short Wave : NPR

NPR Online News•Nov 13, 2024

Lasers powered by sunlight could be key to traveling to Mars, scientists say

Independent•Nov 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the population living on Mars in 2050?

2.28

Will Mars have a permanent population of 10,000 before the Moon does?

38%

Will humans have a sustainable off-world presence by 2100?

55%