Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will the US election be decided by Nov. 11?

Resolved :Yes75%
8
8
Total Forecasters129
Community Prediction75% (66% - 96%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 75%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
78.9
Community Peer Score
25.8
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Anthony
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Elections
2016 Leaderboard
2016 US presidential election
Supreme Court of the US
Hillary Clinton
United States
2016 Democratic National Committee email leak
Donald Trump
Bush v. Gore

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