Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

How many total unique visitors will download Debian package files from ROS.org in the year ending July 2021?

Resolved :Above upper bound750k
Total Forecasters29
Community Prediction750k (693k - 750k)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
<300k
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>750k
...
...
...
...
...
0.3%
692.9k
>750k
>750k
51.3%

What was the final result?Above upper bound

Community Baseline Score
47.9
Community Peer Score
33.3
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:

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