Question
How many infections of COVID-19 will be estimated to have occurred before 2021? [50k-1B range]
Resolved:Above upper boundTotal Forecasters330
Community Prediction
331M
(64M - >1B)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <50k | 0.4% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 63.95M | — |
| median | 331.2M | — |
| upper 75% | >1B | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >1B | 28.8% | — |
What was the final result?Above upper bound
Community Baseline Score
30.1
Community Peer Score
92.5
Authors:
Opened:Jan 27, 2020
Closes:Mar 28, 2020
Resolves:Jan 17, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 27, 2020
Comments
? comments
Authors:
Opened:Jan 27, 2020
Closes:Mar 28, 2020
Resolves:Jan 17, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 27, 2020