Question
In what year will the first private citizen become a permanent off-Earth resident?
Total Forecasters8
Community Prediction2045-11-30 (2038-10-23 - 2054-12-23)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
lower 25% | 2038 | — |
median | 2045 | — |
upper 75% | 2054 | — |
Upper bound | ||
>2100-01-01 | 10.2% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Feb 20, 2025
Closes:Jan 1, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 15, 2100
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Feb 20, 2025
Closes:Jan 1, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 15, 2100