M

Question

Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150?

Total Forecasters1383
Community Prediction30% (10% - 66%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 30%
1
Up to 50% of all variation in lifespan may be due to genetic factors, indicating a significant but not exclusive role of genetics in determining longevity.
1
Life expectancy for the longest-lived populations has been growing more or less linearly since the 1840s.
-1
The FOXO3 gene is closely associated with longevity, and particular variants of this gene are found more frequently in individuals aged 90 and above, suggesting a genetic basis for extended lifespan.
Authors:
Opened:Oct 18, 2016
Closes:Jan 1, 2151
Scheduled resolution:Jan 3, 2151

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