MetaculusM

Question

Will equipment to make fuel from CO2 and water be deployed on Mars and make at least 1 ton per week of rocket fuel (methane) before 2030?

Total Forecasters13

Community Prediction12% (5% - 55%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 12%

Authors:

Opened:

Feb 20, 2025

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Foresight Institute

Is Trump the president who will truly set a course for Mars?

NPR Online News•Feb 13, 2025

Innovators gear up work on ‘green’ hydrogen plane with plans for nonstop 9-day trip around Earth

Associated Press•Feb 13, 2025

Cambridge scientists turn pollution into fuel in climate breakthrough

Independent•Feb 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Comments

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Authors:

Opened:

Feb 20, 2025

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Foresight Institute

Is Trump the president who will truly set a course for Mars?

NPR Online News•Feb 13, 2025

Innovators gear up work on ‘green’ hydrogen plane with plans for nonstop 9-day trip around Earth

Associated Press•Feb 13, 2025

Cambridge scientists turn pollution into fuel in climate breakthrough

Independent•Feb 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch