Question

Will equipment to make fuel from CO2 and water be deployed on Mars and make at least 1 ton per week of rocket fuel (methane) before 2030?

no comments0

Total Forecasters10

Community Prediction10% (5% - 25%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 10%

Authors:

sandman

Opened:

Feb 20, 2025

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Foresight Institute

Technology

Space

Is Trump the president who will truly set a course for Mars?

NPR Online News•Feb 13, 2025

Innovators gear up work on ‘green’ hydrogen plane with plans for nonstop 9-day trip around Earth

Associated Press•Feb 13, 2025

Cambridge scientists turn pollution into fuel in climate breakthrough

Independent•Feb 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will gasified lignocellulosic biomass and microbial gas fermentation scale to 500 million tons before 2050?

20%

Will a proof-of-concept experiment for space-based carbon capture be successfully completed before 2031?

Will chemicals produced from biomass achieve price parity with these three petrochemical equivalents before 2050?

35%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

sandman

Opened:

Feb 20, 2025

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Foresight Institute

Technology

Space

Is Trump the president who will truly set a course for Mars?

NPR Online News•Feb 13, 2025

Innovators gear up work on ‘green’ hydrogen plane with plans for nonstop 9-day trip around Earth

Associated Press•Feb 13, 2025

Cambridge scientists turn pollution into fuel in climate breakthrough

Independent•Feb 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will gasified lignocellulosic biomass and microbial gas fermentation scale to 500 million tons before 2050?

20%

Will a proof-of-concept experiment for space-based carbon capture be successfully completed before 2031?

Will chemicals produced from biomass achieve price parity with these three petrochemical equivalents before 2050?

35%