🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will the star Betelgeuse be observed to go supernova before 2030?

15
1
Total Forecasters106
Community Prediction0.1% (0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 0.1%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Matthew_Barnett
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Space
Natural Sciences
Astronomy
Physics
Astrophysics
Betelgeuse
Supernova

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