Group
What percentage of their January 2024 search interest will these longevity interventions retain in January 2030?
Forecast Timeline
Make a Prediction
Intervention
median
PDF
Authors:
Opened:Feb 20, 2025
Closes:Jan 2, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Feb 15, 2030
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Before January 1, 2032, will an FDA-approved therapeutic intervention demonstrate a statistically significant reversal of at least 10 years in biological age in humans?
22%
Will NAD+ boosters be shown in a systematic review to increase human lifespan by >=5% by 2030?
5%
By 1 January 2067, will any medical interventions for healthy adults extend average lifespans by at least 25 years?
52.2%
Comments
? comments
Authors:
Opened:Feb 20, 2025
Closes:Jan 2, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Feb 15, 2030
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Before January 1, 2032, will an FDA-approved therapeutic intervention demonstrate a statistically significant reversal of at least 10 years in biological age in humans?
22%
Will NAD+ boosters be shown in a systematic review to increase human lifespan by >=5% by 2030?
5%
By 1 January 2067, will any medical interventions for healthy adults extend average lifespans by at least 25 years?
52.2%