Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

How many contests will Bernie Sanders win in the 2020 Democratic Primaries?

Resolved :109.14
4
42
Total Forecasters83
Community Prediction9.14 (8.45 - 9.92)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
...
...
...
8.454
9.144
9.916

What was the final result?10

Community Baseline Score
41.0
Community Peer Score
53.1
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
bismvth
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Elections
Politics
2020 Leaderboard
2020 United States presidential caucuses in the U.S. Virgin Islands
Joe Biden
Donald Trump
Pete Buttigieg
New Hampshire
2020 Democratic Party presidential primaries
Elizabeth Warren
2020 Iowa Democratic caucuses
Bernie Sanders

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