Question

Will there be any faithless electors in the 2016 U.S. Electoral College?

Resolved :Yes55%

10 comments10

Total Forecasters38

Community Prediction55% (48% - 60%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 55%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

12.8

Community Peer Score

13.8

Authors:

BradHurley

Opened:

Oct 23, 2016

Closes:

Nov 1, 2016

Resolves:

Dec 20, 2016

Republican Party (US)

Donald Trump

Faithless elector

Wisconsin voters whose ballots were not counted in November election seek damages

Associated Press•Mar 7, 2025

Electoral College Change Proposed by Republicans

Newsweek•Mar 8, 2025

Flabbergasted Wisconsin elections officials to depose Madison workers over uncounted ballots

Associated Press•Mar 8, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will anyone other than the Democratic or Republican nominee win a state in the 2028 US presidential election?

1.4%

Metaculus on the election

Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach majority in the Electoral college before 2030?

15%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

BradHurley

Opened:

Oct 23, 2016

Closes:

Nov 1, 2016

Resolves:

Dec 20, 2016

Republican Party (US)

Donald Trump

Faithless elector

Wisconsin voters whose ballots were not counted in November election seek damages

Associated Press•Mar 7, 2025

Electoral College Change Proposed by Republicans

Newsweek•Mar 8, 2025

Flabbergasted Wisconsin elections officials to depose Madison workers over uncounted ballots

Associated Press•Mar 8, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will anyone other than the Democratic or Republican nominee win a state in the 2028 US presidential election?

1.4%

Metaculus on the election

Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach majority in the Electoral college before 2030?

15%

MetaculusM

Will there be any faithless electors in the 2016 U.S. Electoral College?

Make a Prediction

Will anyone other than the Democratic or Republican nominee win a state in the 2028 US presidential election?

Metaculus on the election

Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach majority in the Electoral college before 2030?

Comments

Will anyone other than the Democratic or Republican nominee win a state in the 2028 US presidential election?

Metaculus on the election

Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach majority in the Electoral college before 2030?

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