Question

Will there be any faithless electors in the 2016 U.S. Electoral College?

Resolved :Yes55%

10 comments10

Total Forecasters38

Community Prediction55% (48% - 60%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 55%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

12.8

Community Peer Score

13.8

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Authors:

BradHurley

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Republican Party (US)

Democrats will try to abolish the Electoral College — after Trump ironically fuels debate

AlterNet•Dec 17, 2024

'Fake electors' from 2020 are casting 2024 votes for Trump while facing felony charges

NPR Online News•Dec 17, 2024

The Electoral College votes to confirm results for the 2024 presidential election today. Here's what to know.

CBS•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

In January 2025, will we see "3 US Code § 15" objections debated for the 2024 election on enough states where their total electoral count would be enough to change the outcome of the election?

Metaculus on the election

Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach majority in the Electoral college before 2030?

17.5%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

BradHurley

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Republican Party (US)

Democrats will try to abolish the Electoral College — after Trump ironically fuels debate

AlterNet•Dec 17, 2024

'Fake electors' from 2020 are casting 2024 votes for Trump while facing felony charges

NPR Online News•Dec 17, 2024

The Electoral College votes to confirm results for the 2024 presidential election today. Here's what to know.

CBS•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

In January 2025, will we see "3 US Code § 15" objections debated for the 2024 election on enough states where their total electoral count would be enough to change the outcome of the election?

Metaculus on the election

Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach majority in the Electoral college before 2030?

17.5%

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

Will there be any faithless electors in the 2016 U.S. Electoral College?

Make a Prediction

In January 2025, will we see "3 US Code § 15" objections debated for the 2024 election on enough states where their total electoral count would be enough to change the outcome of the election?

Metaculus on the election

Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach majority in the Electoral college before 2030?

Comments

In January 2025, will we see "3 US Code § 15" objections debated for the 2024 election on enough states where their total electoral count would be enough to change the outcome of the election?

Metaculus on the election

Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach majority in the Electoral college before 2030?

In January 2025, will we see "3 US Code § 15" objections debated for the 2024 election on enough states where their total electoral count would be enough to change the outcome of the election?

Metaculus on the election

Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach majority in the Electoral college before 2030?

In January 2025, will we see "3 US Code § 15" objections debated for the 2024 election on enough states where their total electoral count would be enough to change the outcome of the election?

Metaculus on the election

Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach majority in the Electoral college before 2030?