Question

How many total confirmed cases of coronavirus will be reported by Johns Hopkin's CSSE on March 2nd, 2020?

Resolved :89.2k

11 comments11

Total Forecasters77

Community Prediction94.1k

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

<20k

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>1M

...

0.2%

84.94k

94.11k

106k

0.2%

What was the final result?89.2k

Community Baseline Score

68.7

Community Peer Score

26.6

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament

World Health Organization

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

Epidemiology

Johns Hopkins University

Measles cases rose to more than 10 million in 2023, WHO and CDC say

NBC•Nov 15, 2024

US health officials report 1st case of new form of mpox in a traveler

Associated Press•Nov 17, 2024

United States’ first known case of more severe strain of mpox confirmed in California

CNN•Nov 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Before 2025, will at least two public health agencies claim that China deliberately misreported COVID-19 infections?

12%

How many reported COVID-19 deaths will occur (globally) in 2025?

158k

How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?

223

Comments

? comments