Question

Will diplomatic engagement between the U.S. and China on nuclear risk reduction increase in 2025?

9 comments9

Total Forecasters5

Community Prediction

39%

(10% - 50%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 39%

Authors:

Perspectus

Opened:

Mar 18, 2025

Closes:

Dec 31, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 23, 2025

Effective Institutions Project

Nuclear Technology & Risks

Geopolitics

Inside China's 'Underground Great Wall' primed for WW3: How Beijing hides terrifying intercontinental missiles in vast tunnel network as 'last trump card' if nuclear war breaks out

Daily Mail•Mar 22, 2025

U.S. mulls expanding military ties with Japan despite Trump's criticism of the alliance

CBS•Mar 21, 2025

The Chinese Neocolonial Empire

CounterPunch•Mar 21, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

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19%

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42%

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