Question

Will Medicare for all be passed if a Democrat is elected president in 2020?

26 comments26

Total Forecasters135

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

median 1.0%mean 2.3%

Authors:

nagolinc

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Elections

Politics

Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act

Medicare for All Caucus

Democratic Party (US)

Will the US federal government pass legislation by 2040 to provide universal healthcare for American citizens?

30%

Will a Democrat win the 2028 US presidential election?

55%

2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump) → Share of US GDP Spent on Healthcare in 2030?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

nagolinc

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Elections

Politics

Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act

Medicare for All Caucus

Democratic Party (US)

Bernie Sanders Explains What Donald Trump Did That Worked With Voters

Newsweek•Nov 11, 2024

Seniors will pay more for Medicare in 2025. Here's what to know.

CBS•Nov 12, 2024

Democrats

•Nov 12, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the US federal government pass legislation by 2040 to provide universal healthcare for American citizens?

30%

Will a Democrat win the 2028 US presidential election?

55%