Question

Will Michael Bloomberg emerge as the leading moderate candidate after Super Tuesday?

Resolved :No20%

58 comments58

Total Forecasters101

Community Prediction20% (16% - 31%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 20%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

39.6

Community Peer Score

3.9

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

Pablo

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Michael Bloomberg 2020 presidential campaign

Elon Musk says he'll fund 'moderate candidates' to challenge Democrats in safer seats

Business Insider•Dec 21, 2024

Are Democrats Capable of Moving Toward the Center?

PJ Media•Dec 21, 2024

The Six Wings Of The Democratic Party

FiveThirtyEight•Dec 22, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a member of the Forward Party hold any seat in the US congress or the presidency by February 1st 2029?

Will Andrew Yang hold high Federal office in the United States before February 1 2037?

Will a third party win a Senate election in the United States by 2050?

50%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Pablo

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Michael Bloomberg 2020 presidential campaign

Elon Musk says he'll fund 'moderate candidates' to challenge Democrats in safer seats

Business Insider•Dec 21, 2024

Are Democrats Capable of Moving Toward the Center?

PJ Media•Dec 21, 2024

The Six Wings Of The Democratic Party

FiveThirtyEight•Dec 22, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a member of the Forward Party hold any seat in the US congress or the presidency by February 1st 2029?

Will Andrew Yang hold high Federal office in the United States before February 1 2037?

Will a third party win a Senate election in the United States by 2050?

50%

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

Will Michael Bloomberg emerge as the leading moderate candidate after Super Tuesday?

Make a Prediction

Will a member of the Forward Party hold any seat in the US congress or the presidency by February 1st 2029?

Will Andrew Yang hold high Federal office in the United States before February 1 2037?

Will a third party win a Senate election in the United States by 2050?

Comments

Will a member of the Forward Party hold any seat in the US congress or the presidency by February 1st 2029?

Will Andrew Yang hold high Federal office in the United States before February 1 2037?

Will a third party win a Senate election in the United States by 2050?

Will a member of the Forward Party hold any seat in the US congress or the presidency by February 1st 2029?

Will Andrew Yang hold high Federal office in the United States before February 1 2037?

Will a third party win a Senate election in the United States by 2050?

Will a member of the Forward Party hold any seat in the US congress or the presidency by February 1st 2029?

Will Andrew Yang hold high Federal office in the United States before February 1 2037?

Will a third party win a Senate election in the United States by 2050?