Question

Will Michael Bloomberg emerge as the leading moderate candidate after Super Tuesday?

Resolved :No20%

58 comments58

Total Forecasters101

Community Prediction20% (16% - 31%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 20%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

39.6

Community Peer Score

3.9

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Authors:

Pablo

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Michael Bloomberg 2020 presidential campaign

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Will a member of the Forward Party hold any seat in the US congress or the presidency by February 1st 2029?

Will Andrew Yang hold high Federal office in the United States before February 1 2037?

Will a third party win a Senate election in the United States by 2050?

50%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Pablo

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Michael Bloomberg 2020 presidential campaign

Larry Hogan slams parties for ‘dividing’ Americans in first post-election speech

Independent•Dec 13, 2024

Chuck Todd: Is the rise of the independents coming? An experiment is brewing in a key battleground

NBC•Dec 13, 2024

Mitt Romney's Senate Exit May Create Vacuum of Trump Critics

Time•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a member of the Forward Party hold any seat in the US congress or the presidency by February 1st 2029?

Will Andrew Yang hold high Federal office in the United States before February 1 2037?

Will a third party win a Senate election in the United States by 2050?

50%

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Will Michael Bloomberg emerge as the leading moderate candidate after Super Tuesday?

Make a Prediction

Will a member of the Forward Party hold any seat in the US congress or the presidency by February 1st 2029?

Will Andrew Yang hold high Federal office in the United States before February 1 2037?

Will a third party win a Senate election in the United States by 2050?

Comments

Will a member of the Forward Party hold any seat in the US congress or the presidency by February 1st 2029?

Will Andrew Yang hold high Federal office in the United States before February 1 2037?

Will a third party win a Senate election in the United States by 2050?

Will a member of the Forward Party hold any seat in the US congress or the presidency by February 1st 2029?

Will Andrew Yang hold high Federal office in the United States before February 1 2037?

Will a third party win a Senate election in the United States by 2050?

Will a member of the Forward Party hold any seat in the US congress or the presidency by February 1st 2029?

Will Andrew Yang hold high Federal office in the United States before February 1 2037?

Will a third party win a Senate election in the United States by 2050?