Question

Will a third party win a Senate election in the United States by 2050?

8 comments8

Total Forecasters97

Community Prediction50% (35% - 55%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 50%

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Mar 14, 2020

Closes:

Jan 1, 2050

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2050

Elections

United States

James L. Buckley

Democratic Party (US)

Republican Party (US)

US Senate

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Will anyone other than the Democratic or Republican nominee win a state in the 2028 US presidential election?

Will a member of the Forward Party hold any seat in the US congress or the presidency by February 1st 2029?

1.5%

When will the Democratic or Republican party nominee for US president receive fewer votes than a candidate not representing one of those parties?

2069-09-07

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Mar 14, 2020

Closes:

Jan 1, 2050

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2050

Elections

United States

James L. Buckley

Democratic Party (US)

Republican Party (US)

US Senate

NRSC chair reveals how many GOP Senate seats he's gunning for during 2026 midterms

FOX News•Feb 22, 2025

Donald Trump Predicts Republicans to Defy History in CPAC Speech

Newsweek•Feb 23, 2025

Stephen A. Smith Leads Kamala Harris, Michelle Obama in Betting Odds for 2028 Democrat Nomination

Breitbart•Feb 24, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will anyone other than the Democratic or Republican nominee win a state in the 2028 US presidential election?

Will a member of the Forward Party hold any seat in the US congress or the presidency by February 1st 2029?

1.5%

When will the Democratic or Republican party nominee for US president receive fewer votes than a candidate not representing one of those parties?

2069-09-07