Question

Will a third party win a Senate election in the United States by 2050?

8 comments8

Total Forecasters96

Community Prediction50% (38% - 60%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 50%

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Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Elections

Democratic Party (US)

United States

James L. Buckley

Republican Party (US)

US Senate

Republicans and Democrats face a crisis of confidence

•Dec 17, 2024

After the 2024 election, Democrats are at a steep disadvantage in the Senate

•Dec 20, 2024

Are Democrats Capable of Moving Toward the Center?

PJ Media•Dec 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a member of the Forward Party hold any seat in the US congress or the presidency by February 1st 2029?

When will the Democratic or Republican party nominee for US president receive fewer votes than a candidate not representing one of those parties?

2069-09-07

Will a US president who's not a Democrat or Republican be inaugurated before 2080?

33%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Elections

Democratic Party (US)

United States

James L. Buckley

Republican Party (US)

US Senate

Republicans and Democrats face a crisis of confidence

•Dec 17, 2024

After the 2024 election, Democrats are at a steep disadvantage in the Senate

•Dec 20, 2024

Are Democrats Capable of Moving Toward the Center?

PJ Media•Dec 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a member of the Forward Party hold any seat in the US congress or the presidency by February 1st 2029?

When will the Democratic or Republican party nominee for US president receive fewer votes than a candidate not representing one of those parties?

2069-09-07

Will a US president who's not a Democrat or Republican be inaugurated before 2080?

33%