MetaculusM

Question

Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach majority in the Electoral college before 2030?

35

Total Forecasters132

Community Prediction16% (10% - 23%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 16%

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Apr 12, 2020

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

US Electoral College

National Popular Vote Interstate Compact

Trump says he wants Canada to become the 51st US state. This is what it would mean

Associated Press•Feb 13, 2025

What it would take for Canada to become the 51st US state

Independent•Feb 13, 2025

Texas to Become Biggest State by 2045 As Center of Gravity Shifts South

Newsweek•Feb 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Apr 12, 2020

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

US Electoral College

National Popular Vote Interstate Compact

Trump says he wants Canada to become the 51st US state. This is what it would mean

Associated Press•Feb 13, 2025

What it would take for Canada to become the 51st US state

Independent•Feb 13, 2025

Texas to Become Biggest State by 2045 As Center of Gravity Shifts South

Newsweek•Feb 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch