Question

When will the first 100 Megawatt fusion-based electrical generation facility come into service?

27 comments27

Total Forecasters246

Community Prediction2040-12-25 (2033-07-25 - 2053-12-20)

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lower 25%

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upper 75%

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2033-07-25 21:39

2040-12-25 12:38

2053-12-20 20:47

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Authors:

DanielKirk-Davidoff

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Closes:

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Nuclear Technology & Risks

Lockheed Martin P-791

National Ignition Facility

Why Microsoft, Google, Amazon and Meta are drawn to nuclear power : Short Wave : NPR

NPR Online News•Dec 17, 2024

Focused Energy buys two of the world’s most powerful lasers for its fusion quest

TechCrunch•Dec 17, 2024

Commonwealth Fusion Systems just picked its first commercial site partly because of its proximity to Washington, D.C.

TechCrunch•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Comments

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Authors:

DanielKirk-Davidoff

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Nuclear Technology & Risks

Lockheed Martin P-791

National Ignition Facility

Why Microsoft, Google, Amazon and Meta are drawn to nuclear power : Short Wave : NPR

NPR Online News•Dec 17, 2024

Focused Energy buys two of the world’s most powerful lasers for its fusion quest

TechCrunch•Dec 17, 2024

Commonwealth Fusion Systems just picked its first commercial site partly because of its proximity to Washington, D.C.

TechCrunch•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

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When will the first 100 Megawatt fusion-based electrical generation facility come into service?

Make a Prediction

When will a private fusion company first report a yearly profit?

When will nuclear fusion provide at least 0.1% of the world's primary energy?

Will a practical nuclear fusion reactor first be developed in China?

Comments

When will a private fusion company first report a yearly profit?

When will nuclear fusion provide at least 0.1% of the world's primary energy?

Will a practical nuclear fusion reactor first be developed in China?

When will a private fusion company first report a yearly profit?

When will nuclear fusion provide at least 0.1% of the world's primary energy?

Will a practical nuclear fusion reactor first be developed in China?

When will a private fusion company first report a yearly profit?

When will nuclear fusion provide at least 0.1% of the world's primary energy?

Will a practical nuclear fusion reactor first be developed in China?