Question

Longbets series: By 2025 will the scientific evidence of a large bi-pedal great ape be sufficient to convince at least 50% of primatologists that a yeti/bigfoot-like creature exists?

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Total Forecasters177

Community Prediction0.1% (0.1% - 1%)

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50%

community: 0.1%

This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

May 3, 2020

Closed:

Jan 1, 2024

Scheduled resolution:

Apr 1, 2025

Natural Sciences

2016-2025 Leaderboard

Will a major cryptid discovery be made by 2040?

Longbets series: will the annual average temperature anomaly above the 1850-1899 baseline be 2.0C or higher by 2037?

23%

Will there be scientifically accepted evidence of the presence of a non-human intelligence (NHI) on Earth by 2030?

Comments

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Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

May 3, 2020

Closed:

Jan 1, 2024

Scheduled resolution:

Apr 1, 2025

Natural Sciences

2016-2025 Leaderboard

Will a major cryptid discovery be made by 2040?

Longbets series: will the annual average temperature anomaly above the 1850-1899 baseline be 2.0C or higher by 2037?

23%

MetaculusM

Longbets series: By 2025 will the scientific evidence of a large bi-pedal great ape be sufficient to convince at least 50% of primatologists that a yeti/bigfoot-like creature exists?

Make a Prediction

Will a major cryptid discovery be made by 2040?

Longbets series: will the annual average temperature anomaly above the 1850-1899 baseline be 2.0C or higher by 2037?

Will there be scientifically accepted evidence of the presence of a non-human intelligence (NHI) on Earth by 2030?

Comments

Will a major cryptid discovery be made by 2040?

Longbets series: will the annual average temperature anomaly above the 1850-1899 baseline be 2.0C or higher by 2037?

Will there be scientifically accepted evidence of the presence of a non-human intelligence (NHI) on Earth by 2030?

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