M

🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

You're now enjoying a rewritten, open-source Metaculus, with a range of improvements and new opportunities for collaboration. Go here to learn more!

Question

Will the PredictIt prediction market outperform Fivethirtyeight's forecasts for the 2020 Super Tuesday Democratic primaries?

Resolved :No
9
17
Total Forecasters51
Community Prediction46%

Make a Prediction

community: 46%

Did this actually happen?No

median 46.0%mean 42.9%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
Authors:
Anthony
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Politics
Iowa Electronic Markets
Intrade
Super Tuesday
Brier score
PredictIt
FiveThirtyEight
Nate Silver

Comments

? comments