Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

If no candidate obtains a majority of delegates in the Democratic primaries, will the candidate with the most pledged delegates win the nomination?

Resolved :Ambiguous74%
2
14
Total Forecasters71
Community Prediction74% (68% - 94%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 74%

Did this actually happen?Ambiguous

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Authors:
Pablo
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Politics
2020 Leaderboard
List of Democratic Party presidential primaries
Democratic National Committee
Political positions of Bernie Sanders

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