🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will an oracle superintelligence be developed before a general superintelligence?

20
24
Total Forecasters149
Community Prediction78% (60% - 90%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 78%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Haifisch
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
AGI Outcomes
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence
Technology
Ethics
Philosophy
AI control problem
Artificial general intelligence
AI box

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