Question
When will a quantum computer running Shor's algorithm (or a similar one) be used to factor one of the RSA numbers for the first time?
Total Forecasters99
Community Prediction2039-05-06 (2032-06-25 - 2053-07-05)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 2032 | — |
| median | 2039 | — |
| upper 75% | 2053 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2100-01-01 | 5.4% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Feb 20, 2020
Closes:Dec 31, 2099
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2099
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Feb 20, 2020
Closes:Dec 31, 2099
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2099
