Question

Will Yang get 200k donors or more in the 2024 US presidential race?

Resolved :No

20 comments20

Total Forecasters68

Community Prediction15%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 15%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

30.7

Community Peer Score

18.8

median 15.0%mean 17.1%

Authors:

Haifisch

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Elections

Andrew Yang

United States presidential primary

New Hampshire primary

Will Andrew Yang hold high Federal office in the United States before February 1 2037?

Will a member of the Forward Party hold any seat in the US congress or the presidency by February 1st 2029?

Will there be another donor on the scale of 2020 Good Ventures in the Effective Altruist space in 2026?

43.2%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Haifisch

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Elections

Andrew Yang

United States presidential primary

New Hampshire primary

Ready for 2028? Democratic hopefuls are secretly trying to build momentum as party looks to rebound

Independent•Nov 12, 2024

Elon Musk’s PAC spent an estimated $200 million to help elect Trump, AP source says

Associated Press•Nov 12, 2024

Elon Musk’s Super Pac spent $200m to help elect Donald Trump

Guardian•Nov 12, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Andrew Yang hold high Federal office in the United States before February 1 2037?

Will a member of the Forward Party hold any seat in the US congress or the presidency by February 1st 2029?

Will there be another donor on the scale of 2020 Good Ventures in the Effective Altruist space in 2026?

43.2%