Question

When will an AI achieve a 98th percentile score or higher in a Mensa admission test?

30 comments30

Total Forecasters102

Community Prediction2026-02-28 (2024-09-27 - 2028-07-03)

Make a Prediction

weight:

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

2024-09-27 04:57

2026-02-28 17:06

2028-07-03 07:28

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

Haifisch

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

AI Demonstrations

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Intelligence quotient

Education

Redefining Brilliance in the Context of Human Virtue

Psychology Today•Dec 17, 2024

IQ isn’t a smart way to gauge intelligence

Guardian•Dec 17, 2024

AI near-aces college entry-level Korean exam

Korea Herald•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will AI be capable of getting a perfect score on the Putnam Mathematical Competition?

2028-12-14

When will AI be capable of getting a perfect score on the Miklós Schweitzer Competition?

2030-03-11

When will an AI win a Gold Medal in the International Olympiad in Informatics (IOI)?

2026-01-09

Comments

? comments