Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

How many total confirmed cases of novel coronavirus will be reported in the WHO East Mediterranean region by March 27?

Resolved :35.2k37k
5
24
Total Forecasters53
Community Prediction37k (30.9k - 44.7k)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
<200
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>200k
...
...
...
...
...
0.1%
30.94k
37k
44.72k
0.2%

What was the final result?35.2k

Community Baseline Score
73.8
Community Peer Score
19.3
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
ignorance.prior
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament
Health & Pandemics
2020 Leaderboard
Qatar national football team
Morocco
Syria
Hubei
Iraq
Lebanon
Public health
Bahrain–Qatar relations
WHO Regional Office for the Eastern Mediterranean

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