Question

Will the WHO or North Korean Government confirm any COVID-19 cases in North Korea by 2020-05-17?

Resolved :No

49 comments49

Total Forecasters149

Community Prediction5%

Make a Prediction

community: 5%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

-23.7

Community Peer Score

28.9

median 5.0%mean 7.1%

Authors:

AABoyles

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament

World Health Organization

North Korea

Will there be a major famine in North Korea before 2025?

Before January 1, 2025, will at least two public health agencies claim that COVID-19 more likely than not originated in a laboratory?

Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?

10%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

AABoyles

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament

World Health Organization

North Korea

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Will there be a major famine in North Korea before 2025?

Before January 1, 2025, will at least two public health agencies claim that COVID-19 more likely than not originated in a laboratory?

Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?

10%