Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

How many total confirmed cases of novel coronavirus will be reported in the WHO Region of the Americas by March 27?

Resolved :81.1k98.7k
6
17
Total Forecasters59
Community Prediction98.7k (74.3k - 133k)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
<1k
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>100M
...
...
...
...
...
0.1%
74.26k
98.73k
133.3k
0.1%

What was the final result?81.1k

Community Baseline Score
39.1
Community Peer Score
28.6
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
ignorance.prior
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament
Health & Pandemics
2020 Leaderboard
Mexico
Peru
Costa Rica
Hubei
Public health
Nicaragua
El Salvador
Bolivia
Cuba

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