M

Question

What proportion of novel coronavirus infections outside China by March 27 will be due to exposure in China?

Resolved :0.0870.0692
Total Forecasters50
Community Prediction0.0692 (0.0349 - 0.0993)

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%0.03485
median0.06922
upper 75%0.09934

What was the final result?0.087

Community Baseline Score
96.0
Community Peer Score
14.8
Opened:Feb 24, 2020
Closes:Mar 27, 2020
Resolves:Mar 27, 2020

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