M

🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

You're now enjoying a rewritten, open-source Metaculus, with a range of improvements and new opportunities for collaboration. Go here to learn more!

Question

Before 2025, will at least two public health agencies claim that China deliberately misreported COVID-19 infections?

16
42
Total Forecasters199
Community Prediction18%

Make a Prediction

community: 18%
median 18.0%mean 22.3%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
Authors:
ignorance.prior
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Health & Pandemics
Virology
Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention
Centre for Health Protection
Public Health England
National Centre for Infectious Diseases
Korea Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
Public Health Agency of Canada
China
Hubei
Public health

Comments

? comments