Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Question
Question
Will human brain emulation be the first successful route to human-level digital intelligence?
49
16 comments
16
1d
1w
2m
all
Total Forecasters
429
Community Prediction
2%
Make a Prediction
50%
community: 2%
Sign Up to Predict
Background Info
Histogram
median
2.0%
mean
4.0%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Authors:
Anthony
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Artificial Intelligence
Natural Sciences
Neuroscience
Philosophy
Robin Hanson
Mind uploading
The Age of Em
Blue Brain Project
Brain Preservation Foundation
Nervous tissue
Biology
Medicine
Show more tags
Submit Tags Feedback
Comments
Log in
? comments
recent
Load more comments
Follow
embed
Authors:
Anthony
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Artificial Intelligence
Natural Sciences
Neuroscience
Philosophy
Robin Hanson
Mind uploading
The Age of Em
Blue Brain Project
Brain Preservation Foundation
Nervous tissue
Biology
Medicine
Show more tags
Submit Tags Feedback
News Match
A Roadmap to AI Utopia
Time
•
Nov 12, 2024
AI Can Save Humanity—Or End It
Atlantic
•
Nov 13, 2024
Is AI dominance inevitable? A technology ethicist says no
Raw Story
•
Nov 13, 2024
Show More News
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
News Match
A Roadmap to AI Utopia
Time
•
Nov 12, 2024
AI Can Save Humanity—Or End It
Atlantic
•
Nov 13, 2024
Is AI dominance inevitable? A technology ethicist says no
Raw Story
•
Nov 13, 2024
Show More News
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
Similar Questions
When will the human brain first be successfully emulated in full?
2074-09-01
Will mind uploading happen before AGI?
1%
If a whole human brain is successfully emulated by 2100, what is the maximum number of humans that will be uploaded in any 5-year period?
170k
Show More Questions
Similar Questions
When will the human brain first be successfully emulated in full?
2074-09-01
Will mind uploading happen before AGI?
1%
If a whole human brain is successfully emulated by 2100, what is the maximum number of humans that will be uploaded in any 5-year period?
170k
Show More Questions