🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

How many total COVID-2019 cases in the USA will be confirmed on April the 27th?

Resolved :966k989k
40
97
Total Forecasters216
Community Prediction989k (906k - 1.09M)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
<1k
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2M
...
...
...
...
...
0.1%
906k
989k
1.087M
1.2%

What was the final result?966k

Community Baseline Score
21.3
Community Peer Score
55.1
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Tamay
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament
Health & Pandemics
2020 Leaderboard
Johns Hopkins University
Diamond Princess (ship)
United States
Public health
Medicine
COVID-19
Virology

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