M

Question

Will at least one Metaculus user report a positive test result for novel coronavirus by the end of 2020?

Resolved :No
37
209
Total Forecasters236
Community Prediction80%

Make a Prediction

community: 80%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
-178.8
Community Peer Score
14.2
median 80.0%mean 80.5%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
Authors:
ignorance.prior
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Health & Pandemics
Virology
Public health
Medicine
COVID-19

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