Question

When will space mining be profitable?

37 comments37

Total Forecasters72

Community Prediction

Jul 2068

(Sep 2048 - 2102)

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CDF

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>2200
community	Sep 2048	Jul 2068	2102	7.9%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	Sep 2048	—
median	Jul 2068	—
upper 75%	2102	—
Upper bound
>2200	7.9%	—

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Authors:

Mati_Roy

Opened:

Aug 26, 2020

Closes:

Dec 23, 2200

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 23, 2200

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 28, 2020

Will any asteroid or comet have been mined in space for commercial purposes before 2030?

When will at least 1 kg of helium-3 from extraterrestrial bodies be imported to Earth?

2076

When will humans be able to capture water from volatile sources in the inner Solar System?

Jun 2050

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Mati_Roy

Opened:

Aug 26, 2020

Closes:

Dec 23, 2200

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 23, 2200

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 28, 2020

Will any asteroid or comet have been mined in space for commercial purposes before 2030?

When will at least 1 kg of helium-3 from extraterrestrial bodies be imported to Earth?

2076

When will humans be able to capture water from volatile sources in the inner Solar System?

Jun 2050

When will space mining be profitable?

Make a Prediction

Will any asteroid or comet have been mined in space for commercial purposes before 2030?

When will at least 1 kg of helium-3 from extraterrestrial bodies be imported to Earth?

When will humans be able to capture water from volatile sources in the inner Solar System?

Comments

Will any asteroid or comet have been mined in space for commercial purposes before 2030?

When will at least 1 kg of helium-3 from extraterrestrial bodies be imported to Earth?

When will humans be able to capture water from volatile sources in the inner Solar System?

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