Question

Will any bitcoins belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto be spent by April 5, 2075?

13 comments13

Total Forecasters104

Community Prediction20%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 20%

median 20.0%mean 24.8%

Authors:

Mati_Roy

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Bitfinex burglar bags 5 years behind bars for Bitcoin heist

•Nov 16, 2024

Leader of Crypto Heist Worth Billions Gets 5-Year Sentence

•Nov 16, 2024

US Hacker Sentenced for $4.5 Billion Bitcoin Heist.

•Nov 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will anyone be convicted in the US for the possession of Bitcoin before 2060?

Bitcoin Extremes: Will 1 bitcoin be worth $100,000 or more before 2025?

90%

Bitcoin Extremes: Will the value of 1 bitcoin fall to $1,000 or less before 2025?

0.1%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Mati_Roy

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Bitfinex burglar bags 5 years behind bars for Bitcoin heist

•Nov 16, 2024

Leader of Crypto Heist Worth Billions Gets 5-Year Sentence

•Nov 16, 2024

US Hacker Sentenced for $4.5 Billion Bitcoin Heist.

•Nov 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will anyone be convicted in the US for the possession of Bitcoin before 2060?

Bitcoin Extremes: Will 1 bitcoin be worth $100,000 or more before 2025?

90%

Bitcoin Extremes: Will the value of 1 bitcoin fall to $1,000 or less before 2025?

0.1%