🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

How many cumulative confirmed cases of coronavirus in San Francisco will be reported by Johns Hopkins CSSE on April 1st, 2020?

Resolved :397352
5
42
Total Forecasters68
Community Prediction352 (162 - 810)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
<1
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>300k
...
...
...
...
...
0.4%
162.1
352.2
809.9
0.5%

What was the final result?397

Community Baseline Score
50.1
Community Peer Score
10.3
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
ghabs
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament
Health & Pandemics
2020 Leaderboard
Johns Hopkins University
San Francisco
Public health
Medicine
COVID-19
Virology

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